Leading analysts from S&P Global and others predict that crude oil prices could fall below the $50 mark…

Leading analysts from S&P Global and others predict that crude oil prices could fall below the $50 mark this year. That’s a steep decline from its current price of $64 on Wednesday’s trading bell. Crude oil has already declined significantly in 2025, dropping by nearly 10% year-to-date. Its 52-week high is at $84 and it has lost $20 in value in just six months this year.

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Crude oil prices remain under bearish pressures but saw an uptick on Tuesday during the US-China trade talks. It snapped out of its downward trajectory and remained in the green as discussions progressed. The framework has been agreed by both sides in London and President Trump’s sign now awaits to seal the deal.

The weak demand for crude oil is pushing prices down and is the slowest since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even oil-producing countries are now bearing the heat as their economies depend on global consumption. Trump’s tariffs have added to the troubles as imports and exports per barrel have turned costlier. However, the 90-day pause on tariffs is what’s keeping the markets from plummeting in the charts.

$50 Per Barrel For Crude Oil This Year

Gas inflation in the US is at a high and a drop to $50 per barrel for crude oil would provide relief for Americans. Inflation would also cool down as transportation costs would reduce leading to lower prices for goods. Commodity investors must avoid taking an entry position this year as all technicals point towards a price drop.

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The chances of crude oil prices falling by 20% to 22% in the next six months remain high. Therefore, an investment of $10,000 could turn into $7,800 in just six months. That’s a massive loss considering the broader markets remain in the green despite the economic turmoil due to trade wars.